Current Situation and Remaining Matches

The Italy National Team enters the decisive stretch of its road to the 2026 World Cup with only two matches left — an away trip to Moldova and a home fixture against Norway in Milan. At the moment, Italy sits second in Group I with 15 points, just three behind group leaders Norway, who have 18.

That narrow gap means qualification is still possible, but the path has become increasingly challenging. Every remaining point will be crucial for the Azzurri’s chances to return to the biggest stage in football.

The Key: Finishing First

To secure a direct berth, Italy must finish first in the group. That means not only winning both matches but also overtaking Norway on points — or, if tied, on goal difference or head-to-head record. With so few fixtures left, every moment matters.

If Italy manages to surpass Norway, the ticket to the World Cup will be theirs. However, finishing second would send them to the play-offs, a much riskier route that offers no margin for mistakes.

Priorities for the Azzurri

Italy must elevate its overall performance. After an uneven qualifying campaign, the team cannot afford further slip-ups. They need to control matches more effectively, be sharper in front of goal, and stay solid defensively. Playing at home in Milan against Norway, coach Gennaro Gattuso will have to use every advantage to keep qualification hopes alive.

Managing player fitness and mental focus will be essential as the team approaches this decisive stage. The staff’s ability to balance intensity and composure could define Italy’s destiny.

In short, Italy faces a defining moment. With just two games left — away to Moldova and at home against Norway — and sitting three points behind the leaders, the Azzurri still have a clear shot at direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup. To achieve it, they must win both matches and hope Norway drops points along the way.