Opta’s Ranking

The Champions League is back, and Big Data is also in play. According to Opta’s calculations, these are the probabilities for each team to lift the trophy. From tenth to first, here’s the ranking that shows who has the best shot at being crowned champion in 2025/26.

10. Newcastle United – 3%

The English side return to the elite with hope, but the numbers place them at the bottom of the list. Their lack of experience weighs heavily in Europe’s toughest tournament.

9. Inter Milan – 3%

The 2023 runner-up remain competitive, but Big Data places them far from the top contenders for the title.

8. Bayern Munich – 4%

Always a candidate by history, but this Bayern doesn’t inspire the same confidence as in past years. Their challenge will be regaining their trademark dominance.

7. Real Madrid – 6%

The king of Europe doesn’t appear among the top favorites. Still, with their Champions League mystique, you can never count them out.

6. Chelsea – 7%

A recent champion aiming to return to the big stage. Opta gives them limited chances, but with a refreshed squad they could surprise.

5. Barcelona – 8%

The youth project excites, though it remains to be seen if they have the maturity to climb back to the top of Europe.

4. Manchester City – 8%

They defend their status as one of the world’s best, but the strain of the calendar and the pressure could work against them.

3. Paris Saint-Germain – 12%

Still chasing their long-awaited first Champions League. Big Data puts them in contention, but the ghosts of the past loom large.

2. Arsenal – 16%

With a solid project and attractive football, the Gunners are back among Europe’s elite. Opta’s percentage reflects their big ambitions.

1. Liverpool – 20%

Klopp’s men top the ranking with the highest probability. A renewed squad and recent history make them the team to beat.

A Champions League Full of Uncertainty

Opta’s percentages make it clear: the planet’s biggest tournament kicks off wide open. Big Data sets the trends, but the Champions League always leaves room for epic stories and surprises.