Who Leads the Betting Odds to Win the 2025 Ballon D’Or?
The 2025 Ballon d’Or already has its main favorites according to the bookmakers. Ousmane Dembélé leads with a huge advantage, but Lamine Yamal keeps the dream alive for football purists. The rest are chasing an upset in a ceremony that promises plenty of drama.
Paris prepares to crown the best in the world
On September 22, the Théâtre du Châtelet in Paris will once again become the epicenter of world football for the 2025 Ballon d’Or ceremony. The race seems almost decided, but the stories and merits of each candidate are still sparking debate.
Based on the latest figures from the bookmakers, here’s the ranking from 1 to 9, along with the context for each contender.
9. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia – 2%
The Georgian star at Napoli is pure talent, but the team’s poor collective performance this season keeps him far from the real fight.
8. Cole Palmer – 3%
The breakout star of Chelsea and the Premier League. Impressive numbers for his age, although a lack of major trophies hurts his case.
7. Kylian Mbappé – 3%
His departure from Real Madrid was overshadowed by elimination against PSG in the Club World Cup. Undeniable talent, but an inconsistent season.
6. Nuno Mendes – 3%
The Portuguese full-back has been key in both defense and attack for PSG. His position works against him in an award that rarely recognizes defenders.
5. Vitinha – 4%
The silent engine of PSG’s treble-winning campaign. Less flashy than Dembélé, but essential to Luis Enrique’s tactical balance.
4. Raphinha – 5%
A decisive figure in Barcelona’s season, but his absence from the Club World Cup costs him points with the jury.
3. Mohamed Salah – 6%
The Liverpool star delivered a stellar Premier League campaign, though limited international impact holds back his chances.
2. Lamine Yamal – 17%
Messi’s No. 10 heir at Barça has shone with goals, assists, and decisive performances. He’s the darling of football romantics.
1. Ousmane Dembélé – 83%
The perfect season: a treble with PSG, Champions League Player of the Tournament award, and outstanding attacking numbers. The overwhelming favorite.
All eyes on Paris
Everything points to Ousmane Dembélé breaking the Messi–Cristiano dominance of the past decade, but the narrative and performances of Lamine Yamal keep the suspense alive. On September 22, we’ll find out whether the odds are right or if Paris will witness a shock upset.
