The numbers vs. the narrative

Xabi Alonso’s words after the Osasuna match were meant to calm nerves: “Nothing’s wrong, I count on him.” Yet the numbers say otherwise. Out of seven official matches, Rodrygo has started just once and has only played 93 of 630 possible minutes. Not even on LaLiga’s opening day, with Bellingham out, did he find space. The reality is brutal: the sixth forward in the rotation, and even that goal in the Innsbruck friendly went uncelebrated.

The stats weigh heavier than the discourse, and the Brazilian knows it. Sunday’s clash against Oviedo at the Tartiere could be his last real chance to change his coach’s perception.

A crucial season

The crisis couldn’t come at a worse time. This isn’t just any season: the calendar leads into the 2026 World Cup, the ultimate obsession for Brazilian footballers. In Ancelotti’s plans, Rodrygo is still considered, but he needs continuity, goals, and confidence. The competition in the Seleção is fierce, and without regaining prominence, his place on the roster could be at risk.

Since that goal against Leipzig on March 4 in the Champions League, it’s been all darkness: no goals, no spark, no confidence. The lowest point came in the Copa del Rey final, where he was subbed off at halftime to make way for Mbappé.

Exit or redemption?

If he chooses to leave Real Madrid, the road won’t be any easier. The transfer window closes on September 1, and the club has no intention of selling him for less than €100 million. Bayern already went for Luis Díaz, and from Manchester City there are no signs of movement. The window is closing, and the options are shrinking.

The only certainty is that the game against Oviedo could mark the start of a redemption… or the final step toward the exit door.