The Favorites to Win AFCON 2025 According to Opta’s Supercomputer

The Africa Cup of Nations returns with Morocco as hosts and several heavyweights chasing continental glory — but AFCON history warns that nothing is guaranteed.

AFCON 2025: The Top Favorites and the Teams That Could Shake the Tournament

With the Africa Cup of Nations 2025 set to kick off on December 21, anticipation is building around what promises to be another unpredictable and emotionally charged tournament. Hosts Morocco headline the list of contenders, but history has shown that AFCON rarely follows the script. According to Opta’s supercomputer, these are the teams most likely to lift the trophy in Morocco.

Remember that you can enjoy every single match of AFCON 2025 live on beIN Sports starting December 21.

Morocco (19.1%)

Playing at home and riding an 18-match winning streak, Morocco enter AFCON 2025 as the top favorite. Walid Regragui’s side blends tactical discipline with attacking speed, backed by key figures like Brahim Díaz, Youssef En-Nesyri, and goalkeeper Yassine Bounou. Their defensive solidity and consistency make the Atlas Lions the team everyone wants to avoid.

Egypt (12.4%)

AFCON’s most decorated nation returns with unfinished business. Egypt lean heavily on Mohamed Salah, who is chasing his first continental title despite mixed club form. With seven AFCON crowns already, the Pharaohs’ experience and Salah’s individual brilliance keep them firmly in the title conversation.

Senegal (12.3%)

Champions in 2021, Senegal arrive with renewed energy under Pape Thiaw. Led by Sadio Mané and supported by dynamic attackers like Ismaïla Sarr and Iliman Ndiaye, the Lions of Teranga combine physical power with tactical balance, making them one of the most complete squads in the tournament.

Algeria (12.0%)

Despite recent disappointments, Algeria remain a dangerous contender. Riyad Mahrez continues to be the creative reference point, while striker Mohamed Amoura brings goals and momentum from World Cup qualifying. Drawn into a tricky group, the Desert Foxes will look to rediscover their 2019-winning formula.

Nigeria (7.3%)

Runners-up in 2023, Nigeria boast one of the most explosive attacks in the competition, led by Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman. Defensive absences and a demanding group could complicate their path, but the Super Eagles’ tournament pedigree makes them a genuine threat.

The Other Contenders

Beyond the top five, AFCON 2025 is packed with teams capable of a deep run. Defending champions Côte d’Ivoire, along with Tunisia, Mali, Cameroon, South Africa, and DR Congo, all appear within realistic striking distance. History suggests that at least one of these sides could outperform expectations, as surprises remain a defining feature of the competition.

AFCON Never Follows the Script

While data points to clear favorites, AFCON has always thrived on chaos, emotion, and the unexpected. From shock eliminations to underdog stories, the 2025 edition in Morocco is once again set to remind the football world that, in Africa, anything can happen.