After capturing their first NBA title in the OKC era last June, the Thunder have carried their momentum into the 2025-26 season with a 14-1 record.

The core of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the reigning Kia MVP and Finals MVP, remains the linchpin of their offense, averaging over 32 points while efficiently elevating teammates. Rising stars like Chet Holmgren continue their ascent, complementing the team's elite defense and balanced scoring.

This deep roster has kept the Thunder competitive even with injuries sidelining key contributors, underscoring the strength in their roster construction.​

Championship Repeat Feasibility

NBA analysts and insiders recognize Oklahoma City as the clear favorites to repeat. Their defense ranks among the league's best, and their overall team efficiency suggests they can sustain prolonged success.

While challenges remain in the fiercely competitive Western Conference, the Thunder's blend of experience, youth, and draft capital positions them uniquely for sustained excellence.

Simulation models and expert predictions cite the Thunder as the most probable NBA Finals winner this season, often edging out contenders like Denver and New York in probability models.​

Challenges Ahead and Team Depth

Despite impressive early results, the Thunder face the difficulty of maintaining focus and health over a long season. The absence of Jalen Williams so far due to injury has tested their depth, but players like Ajay Mitchell and Cason Wallace have stepped up admirably.

With a well-rounded rotation including veterans and emerging talent, Oklahoma City aims to avoid last season’s playoff scares, where close series tested their resilience.

How coach Sam Presti manages minutes and matches up against elite Western contenders will be critical in the race for back-to-back titles.