Who Is the Champions League Favorite?
After the first semi-final matches, here are the probabilities of Real Madrid, PSG, Borussia Dortmund, and Bayern Munich winning the tournament
After the first legs of the Champions League semi-finals, here are the odds, according to Opta data, that PSG, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Borussia Dortmund have of reaching the final in their respective ties and ultimately winning the tournament.
After losing 1-0 in Dortmund, PSG will play for their ticket to the Wembley final at the Parc des Princes next Tuesday. According to Opta, they have a 49.7% chance of coming back and a 22.1% chance of winning the trophy.
Real Madrid secured a 2-2 draw at Bayern's home ground and will rely on the magical nights of the Santiago Bernabéu to defeat the German giant. Their chances: 67.5% to reach the final and 41.4% (the top favorite) to lift the trophy.
As for Bayern Munich, they have a 32.5% chance of emerging victorious from the Bernabéu and a 17.3% chance of ultimately conquering the Champions League.
Borussia Dortmund has a 19.2% chance of winning the tournament and is slightly (but just barely) favored in the return leg against PSG with a 50.3% chance.
